@article{Kabajulizi:333310,
      recid = {333310},
      author = {Kabajulizi, Judith and Boysen, Ole},
      title = {The macroeconomic implications of COVID-19 pandemic and  associated policies: An economy-wide analysis of Uganda},
      address = {2021},
      year = {2021},
      note = {Presented during the 24th Annual Conference on Global  Economic Analysis (Virtual Conference)},
      abstract = {This study evaluates the economy-wide impact of Covid-19  pandemic and associated mitigation polices in Uganda.   Uganda instituted Covid-19 pandemic mitigating strategies  ranging from home/institutional quarantine to social  distancing of entire the population where all households  reduced contact outside their household. The mitigating  strategies result in economic consequences with some  sectors being affected more than others. We employ a  recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model to  evaluate the aggregate impact of Covid-19 pandemic on the  Ugandan economy. We design scenarios to mimic the impact of  mitigating public health policies on the economy, focussing  on impact channels via labour supply, labour productivity,  government health spending and remittance inflows. Results  indicate that growth in sector output declines for most  sectors under all scenarios except for the increase in  non-tertiary rural labour scenario. The increased  government health spending induces expansion in the  healthcare output but the sectors that produce the  intermediate inputs for healthcare production do not grow  in tandem. This suggests the healthcare inputs are largely  imported. There is an increase export growth rates when we  assume an increase in supply of non-tertiary rural labour,  suggesting that agricultural products exported to  neighbouring countries through informal channels persist  even during the Covid-19 restrictions. The sector  performance results call for policymakers to revisit  Uganda’s industrial policy and reorient it towards domestic  production of commodities that are intermediate inputs to  critical domestic sectors such as healthcare. Additionally,  there is a need to accelerate rural infrastructure  development to facilitate an integrated economy induced by  the shift in labour and enterprise towards rural areas. The  results of negative welfare effects call for the government  to consider transfers to households to mitigate the adverse  effects of Covid-19.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/333310},
}