@article{BarreirodeSouzai:332897,
      recid = {332897},
      author = {Barreiro de Souzai, Kênia and Domingues, Edson and Guedes,  Gilvan and Mingoti, Sueli and Magalhaes, Aline and  Santiago, Flaviane and Cardoso, Débora},
      title = {Sustainable consumption and population dynamics in Brazil},
      address = {2017},
      year = {2017},
      note = {Presented at the 21st Annual Conference on Global Economic  Analysis, Cartagena, Colombia},
      abstract = {This paper analyses sustainable consumption in Brazil,  highlighting the consumption profile of sustainable  products by income level and household composition.  Preference data collected in 2012 by the Brazilian Ministry  of the Environment, and expenditure data from the 2008-2009  Brazilian Household Budget Survey were used in a Computable  General Equilibrium model to project scenarios of demand  for sustainable products and its implication for  production, employment, and household income. Household  income growth, economic growth, population dynamics,  productivity, and energy efficiency gains were explicitly  modelled. A dynamic path for consumption preferences  towards organic products was also included. Our simulation  assumes that preference for organic consumption increases  from 2016 to 2050, varying among income deciles. By 2050,  Brazil would experience an overall increase in organic  consumption, despite differences between poor and rich  households regarding preference and share of income spent  in organic products. This result is the consequence of the  combined effect of income growth (faster for poorer  households) and preference change (faster for richer  households). The projected consumption path suggests that  increase in organic consumption may generate positive  effects for all households, including the poor, by  increasing production, employment demand in sectors were  the poor are more likely to be employed, and family  income.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332897},
}