@article{Sokolova:332790, recid = {332790}, author = {Sokolova, Maria V.}, title = {Exchange Rates, International Trade and Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation}, address = {2016}, year = {2016}, note = {Presented at the 19th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Washington DC, USA}, abstract = {This paper shows that a regional bias resulting from trade integration alters the transmission of a country's monetary policy by shifting the burden of the exchange rate adjustment towards the less integrated trading partners. I first develop a simple model which illustrates how a concentration of trade flows among regional trading partners affects the sensitivity of the trade balance to the terms-of-trade. In particular, the trade balance becomes less sensitive to the terms-of-trade vis-à-vis regional partners and more sensitive to the terms-of-trade vis-à-vis the other country. I then test the implication of the model using a panel of 133 countries between 1985 - 2010 that includes information on Regional Trade Agreements (RTA). I find that movements in the terms-of-trade vis-à-vis non-RTA members affect a country's trade balance, while movements vis-à-vis RTA partners do not.}, url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332790}, }