@article{Bachmann:332725,
      recid = {332725},
      author = {Bachmann, Christian},
      title = {Analyzing the Infrastructure Impacts of Free Trade  Agreements},
      address = {2016},
      year = {2016},
      note = {Presented at the 19th Annual Conference on Global Economic  Analysis, Washington DC, USA},
      abstract = {This paper presents a modelling framework to analyze the  domestic transportation impacts of FTAs. In general, the  analysis requires: 1) a model of the global economy that  quantifies the impacts of a FTA on international trade  flows; 2) a multi-scale analysis that links changes in  national production, consumption, and international imports  and exports to subnational trade flows; and 3) a freight  model that translates all trade flows into freight flows.  Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models such as the  GTAP Model are currently the most suitable alternative for  simulating complex economic policies such as FTAs because  they comprehensively model the entire economy, the  interdependency between all of its parts, and the  microeconomic behavior within these parts. A Multi-Scale  Multi-Regional Input-Output (MSMRIO) analysis then links  global economic impacts to individual states, provinces, or  regions using the interindustry and interregional structure  of the national economy. Freight flow modeling can start  with a commodity-based model in the initial implementation  of the analysis, and once operational, models of logistics  choices can be incorporated to upgrade the commodity-based  model to an Aggregate-Disaggregate-Aggregate (ADA) freight  model. A range of detail and theoretical consistencies in  implementations is described in the paper, compromising  data and labor requirements for the quantity and quality of  the overall model’s capabilities. The complexity of the  interactions between FTAs and the transportation system and  the challenges of comprehensively modelling this process is  also discussed. Preliminary results for partial  implementations of the framework are presented for the  CKFTA and CETA},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332725},
}