000332624 001__ 332624 000332624 005__ 20230304054528.0 000332624 041__ $$aeng 000332624 245__ $$aCoupling Socioeconomic Factors into a Global Earth System Model: An Inter-comparison of the Socio-Economic Consequence of the IPCC RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios 000332624 260__ $$c2015 000332624 269__ $$a2015 000332624 336__ $$aConference Paper/ Presentation 000332624 500__ $$aPresented at the 18th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Melbourne, Australia 000332624 520__ $$aThere is growing scientific evidence on the increased likelihood of considerable global warming over the coming century. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) advocates measures to stabilize greenhouse gases at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. The full implications of climate change on the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the climate system to changes in greenhouse gas concentrations, but also on the actions that humankind takes to mitigate and adapt to those changes, through the use of technology, economic structures and incentives, lifestyle choices, institutional and policy settings. To explore the economic implications of moving to a low carbon economy, and the implications of a shifting climate on the global economy we couple the CSIRO version of the Global Trade and Environment Model (GTEM-C) to the Australian Community Climate Earth System Simulator Coupled Model (ACCESS-CM) via a set of widely studied damage functions. Like the original GTEM model, GTEM-C is a multi-region, multi-sector dynamic recursive CGE model that has a detailed energy technology bundle. In this version of GTEM, we have included detailed accounting of energy and resources flows that are embedded in traded energy goods, along with some additional features, such as a coupling for exporting GHG emission and other environmental pollutants to ACCESS-CM. In this modelling exercise, ACCESS-CM and GTEM-C are forced to follow the IPCC RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 Representative Concentration Pathway emissions trajectories. The projected surface air temperatures are used to calculate changes in total factor productivity, via a set of well-known damage functions. These climate feedbacks are taken to GTEM-C as exogenous shocks to the socio-economic system, and GTEM-C solves for the set of policy, economic, welfare constraints so that its projected carbon emissions comply with the d... 000332624 546__ $$aEnglish 000332624 650__ $$aEnvironmental Economics and Policy 000332624 6531_ $$aClimate change policy 000332624 6531_ $$aClimate impacts 000332624 700__ $$aNewth, David 000332624 700__ $$aGunasekera, Don 000332624 700__ $$aCai , Yiyong 000332624 773__ $$j2015 000332624 8564_ $$99088d468-014f-4245-be56-71744a0b6237$$s295252$$uhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332624/files/7397.pdf 000332624 909CO $$ooai:ageconsearch.umn.edu:332624$$pGLOBAL_SET 000332624 913__ $$aBy depositing this Content ('Content') in AgEcon Search, I agree that I am solely responsible for any consequences of uploading this Content to AgEcon Search and making it publicly available, and I represent and warrant that: I am either the sole creator and the owner of the copyrights and all other rights in the Content; or, without obtaining another’s permission, I have the right to deposit the Content in an archive such as AgEcon Search. To the extent that any portions of the Content are not my own creation, they are used with the copyright holder’s express permission or as permitted by law. Additionally, the Content does not infringe the copyrights or other intellectual property rights of another, nor does the Content violate any laws or another’s rights of privacy or publicity. The Content contains no restricted, private, confidential, or otherwise protected data or information that should not be publicly shared. I understand that AgEcon Search will do its best to provide perpetual access to my Content. In order to support these efforts, I grant the Regents of the University of Minnesota ('University'), through AgEcon Search, the following non-exclusive, irrevocable, royalty-free, world-wide rights and licenses: to access, reproduce, distribute and publicly display the Content, in whole or in part, in order to secure, preserve and make it publicly available, and to make derivative works based upon the Content in order to migrate the Content to other media or formats, or to preserve its public access. These terms do not transfer ownership of the copyright(s) in the Content. These terms only grant to the University the limited license outlined above. 000332624 980__ $$a2457