@article{Guimbard:332514,
      recid = {332514},
      author = {Guimbard, Houssein and Le Goff, Maëlan},
      title = {Mega Deals: What Consequences for sub-Saharan Africa?},
      address = {2014},
      pages = {41},
      year = {2014},
      note = {Presented at the 18th Annual Conference on Global Economic  Analysis, Melbourne, Australia; CEPII},
      abstract = {The sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries are excluded from  the mega-deals, free trade agreements (FTA) currently under  negotiations between several developed economies (EUUSA,  EU-Japan, China-Japan-Korea…). As Sub-Saharan African  exports remain dependent on these large markets,  Sub-Saharan African countries could undergo important  economic impacts,. Using a dynamic Computable General  Equilibrium Model (CGEM), we find that mega-deals would  have a negative impact on the welfare of SSA countries.  Regional integration (through the negotiation of the  “Tripartite” FTA, which gathers, 26 African countries)  might limit these losses, but could not overcome them. A  continental regional trade agreement (RTA) involving all  SSA countries would slightly counterbalance the negative  impacts of the mega-deals. We also show that openness of  SSA countries towards Asia could be a potential solution to  avoid trade diversion.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332514},
}