@article{Britz:332309,
      recid = {332309},
      author = {Britz, Wolfgang and Hertel, Thomas W. and Pelikan, Janine},
      title = {Green Light for Green Agricultural Policies? An Analysis  at Regional and Global Scales},
      address = {2013},
      pages = {30},
      year = {2013},
      note = {Presented at the 16th Annual Conference on Global Economic  Analysis, Shanghai, China},
      abstract = {This study analyzes the effects of introducing a  biodiversity-targeted program for ecological focus area on  all farms with arable land in the EU by quantifying its  global and regional, economic and environmental impacts in  a mutually consistent way. This is challenging due to the  differing spatial scales of the problem – ranging from  on-farm decisions regarding setaside in the EU, to supply  response around the world. In order to address this  challenge, we combine the supply side of the CAPRI model,  which offers high spatial, farm and policy resolution in  the EU, with the GTAP model of global trade and land use.  Both models are linked through a multi-product, restricted  revenue function for the EU crops sector. The results  predict improved environmental status in the high yielding  regions of the EU. However, price increases trigger  intensification in the more marginal areas of Europe where  little or no additional land is taken out of production. We  find that the loss of 3.7 Mio ha of arable land in the EU  is partially compensated by an increase of 0.4 Mio ha in  other regions of the globe, as well as increased fertilizer  applications. Thus the improvement of environmental status  in the EU comes at the price of global intensification, as  well as the loss of forest and grass land areas outside the  EU. Overall, we find that every hectare of land that is  set-aside in the EU increases these emissions in the rest  of the world by 20.8 tonnes CO2eq.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332309},
}