@article{He:331279,
      recid = {331279},
      author = {He, Jie and Roland-Holst, David},
      title = {Chinese Growth and Atmospheric Pollution: An Empirical  Assessment of Challenges and Opportunities},
      address = {2004},
      pages = {32},
      year = {2004},
      note = {Presented at the 7th Annual Conference on Global Economic  Analysis, Washington DC, USA},
      abstract = {This paper uses a dynamic CGE model, calibrated to new and  detailed Chinese emissions data, to assess two important  questions. What can we reasonably expect Chinese emissions  trends to look like over the next two decades? Secondly,  what would be the appropriate policy interventions to  flatten Chinese emissions trajectories and reduce the risk  of local, regional, and even global adversity? This  research is original in its direct use of the new  industrial sector-level emissions and energy using data  from China to estimate the energy-specific emission  effluent rate and its detailed treatment of policies taking  account of the three main determinants of pollution  intensity: growth, output composition, and technological  change. Our results indicate that trade -offs between these  three, under a facilitating policy environment, might allow  sustained increases in Chinese living standards without  significantly adverse environmental externalities,  domestically or internationally. The results indicate that,  without further effective emission control measures,  China’s economic growth over the next two decades will  contribute significantly to SO2 emission problems. However,  detailed examination of the structural and technological  components of pollution shows that efficient pollution  mitigation can be realized by focused abatement activities,  cleaner production, and advances in cleaner fuel products  and their use technologies.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331279},
}