@article{Hughes:331079,
      recid = {331079},
      author = {Hughes, Barry B. and Hossain, Anwar},
      title = {Analysis of Long-Term Global Social Change: Using  Universal Social Accouting Matrices (SAMs) in the  International Futures (IFs) Modelling System},
      address = {2003},
      pages = {27},
      year = {2003},
      note = {Presented at the 6th Annual Conference on Global Economic  Analysis, The Hague, The Netherlands},
      abstract = {This paper describes work underway in creating and using  an integrated model for the analysis of long-term, global  social development and performance. The paper describes a  specific effort within the larger modelling project, namely  the creation and use of universal social accounting  matrices (SAMs) for dynamic analysis of social performance  in countries around the world. The universal social  accounting matrices (SAMs) have been developed within an  existing integrated global model named International  Futures (IFs) that contains: a cohortcomponent  representation of demographic systems; a multi-sector,  general equilibriumseeking representation of economies; a  module of formal education at primary, secondary, and  tertiary levels; and other subsystems. The IFs system also  facilitates the development and comparison of multiple  scenarios for underlying variables and subsystems as  disparate as the rate of change in systemic multifactor  productivity, the evolution of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, and  the attention that societies give to different levels of  education. The net for data sources and methods for  generating the matrices and creating forecasts for a wide  range of countries was cast wide, but a few sources were of  particular importance. These include the Global Trade  Analysis Project (GTAP), the World Bank (especially its  World Development Indicators), and the Organization for  Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Specific  issues that such a modelling system can help investigate  include the unfolding pension crises of many developed  countries and the effort to strengthen basic social safety  nets or social protection systems throughout the developing  world. The modelling system is also being structured so as  to provide insights into changing income distributions  within and across countries.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331079},
}