@article{Chau:312520,
      recid = {312520},
      author = {Chau, Nancy H. and Garip, Filiz and Oritz-Bobea, Ariel},
      title = {On the Triggers of Hazardous Border Crossings: Evidence  from the US-Mexican Border},
      address = {2021-03-31},
      number = {639-2021-2092},
      series = {AEP WP No. 2021-09},
      pages = {50},
      month = {Mar},
      year = {2021},
      abstract = {We study the self-selection of migrants at crossing  locations along the Mexican-U.S. border distinguished by  stark differences in physiography and border enforcement  intensities. We model the triggers of hazardous crossings,  and reveal self-selection patters that are  alternative-specific: individuals with low economic  prospects at origin communities are favorably selected at  high-risk, high-reward crossing locations. Using  comprehensive migrant journey level trajectories from the  Mexican Migration Project (1980-2005), and identification  based on enforcement reforms, community-level trade and  weather shocks, as well as migrant-specificc  characteristics, we estimate a McFadden choice model of  border crossing. Results confirm the negative-selection of  migrants in high-risk, high-likelihood of success border  crossing locations, in addition to nuanced variations when  economic shocks are idiosyncratic rather than permanent.  The implications of these observations on the effectiveness  of border walls and trade walls in mediating cross-border  migration flows are also discussed.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/312520},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.312520},
}