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Abstract

Changes in temperature and precipitation can impact both crop and livestock production. ERS researchers modeled a future climate change scenario with an average temperature increase of 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) and a 1-inch decrease in average annual precipitation. Results show that some States would experience larger effects on agricultural productivity than others because for some States those climate changes fall within the range of what is historically observed, while for other States they do not.

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