000290305 001__ 290305 000290305 005__ 20210122082200.0 000290305 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.22004/ag.econ.290305 000290305 037__ $$a1187-2019-2278 000290305 041__ $$aeng 000290305 245__ $$aFertilizer, Natural Gas, and Corn: A Case of a Price Switching Regime 000290305 260__ $$c2017-05-31 000290305 269__ $$a2017-05-31 000290305 300__ $$a23 000290305 336__ $$aReport 000290305 490__ $$aAgribusiness and Applied Economics Report No. 772 000290305 520__ $$aThis study looks at changing relationships among ammonia, natural gas, and corn spot prices. Prices from April 2001 to May 2014 were tested for correlation, causation, and cointegration. Evidence of a regime switch is found during December 2007. Before this date natural gas prices Granger caused changes in fertilizer price, while after this date corn price Granger caused changes in the price of fertilizer. Johansen’s test found evidence of cointegration among the data leading to the use of a vector error correction model to estimate relationships among ammonia, natural gas, and corn prices. Results indicate that a regime shift did occur around December of 2007. 000290305 546__ $$aEnglish 000290305 650__ $$aAgricultural Finance 000290305 650__ $$aCrop Production/Industries 000290305 650__ $$aDemand and Price Analysis 000290305 6531_ $$acorn prices, fertilizer prices, natural gas prices, cointegration, correlation, vector error correction model. 000290305 700__ $$aRipplinger, David 000290305 700__ $$aMiljkovic, Dragan 000290305 8560_ $$fedie.nelson@ndsu.edu 000290305 8564_ $$910cfa472-b9ac-442a-acd1-6b65db4af804$$s379332$$uhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/290305/files/AAE772.pdf 000290305 909CO $$ooai:ageconsearch.umn.edu:290305$$pGLOBAL_SET 000290305 913__ $$aBy depositing this Content ('Content') in AgEcon Search, I agree that I am solely responsible for any consequences of uploading this Content to AgEcon Search and making it publicly available, and I represent and warrant that: I am either the sole creator and the owner of the copyrights and all other rights in the Content; or, without obtaining another’s permission, I have the right to deposit the Content in an archive such as AgEcon Search. To the extent that any portions of the Content are not my own creation, they are used with the copyright holder’s express permission or as permitted by law. Additionally, the Content does not infringe the copyrights or other intellectual property rights of another, nor does the Content violate any laws or another’s rights of privacy or publicity. The Content contains no restricted, private, confidential, or otherwise protected data or information that should not be publicly shared. I understand that AgEcon Search will do its best to provide perpetual access to my Content. In order to support these efforts, I grant the Regents of the University of Minnesota ('University'), through AgEcon Search, the following non-exclusive, irrevocable, royalty-free, world-wide rights and licenses: to access, reproduce, distribute and publicly display the Content, in whole or in part, in order to secure, preserve and make it publicly available, and to make derivative works based upon the Content in order to migrate the Content to other media or formats, or to preserve its public access. These terms do not transfer ownership of the copyright(s) in the Content. These terms only grant to the University the limited license outlined above. 000290305 980__ $$a1187