@article{Nishihara:277506,
      recid = {277506},
      author = {Nishihara, Y. and Takahashi, D. and Fukui, S. and Yoshida,  R. and Tamaki, E.},
      title = {Evaluation of the Economic Effect of Climate Change on  Rice Production in Japan: The Case of Koshihikari},
      address = {2018-07},
      year = {2018},
      abstract = {Climate change threatens global food security and farm  management by affecting the quantity and quality of food.  Our purpose is to accurately predict the effect of climate  change on rice production in Japan. To estimate the rice  quantity and quality under the future climate conditions,  we simulated rice growth and quality models by three  different scenarios of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission. For  assessing the economic impact of climate change, we  exchanged the results of rice yield and quality to the  price. We focus on Kosihikari, the most popular cultivar  among consumers and widely produced in Japanese rice  farming, although being vulnerable to heat stress. The  estimated results provide two insights. First, an increase  in the quantity of rice yield due to climate change has a  stronger economic impact than the decrease in quality even  under the future climate conditions scenario with the  lowest GHG-emission. Second, the impact between eastern and  western Japan is different. In eastern Japan, the rice  yield would increase while in western Japan, quality would  deteriorate. This means the Japanese will be faced with an  oversupply of rice, and suggests that rice farmers in  western Japan will be obliged to adopt new strategies to  improve revenue. 

Acknowledgement : },
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/277506},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.277506},
}