The Future of the World's Fishery Resources: Forecasts of Demand, Supply and Prices to the Year 2000 with a Discussion of Implications for Public Policy

In the past few years, the world comunity has become increasingly aware of the sea and its resources. The increasing pressure of world population expansion is expected to lead to more intensive . exploitation of the fishery resources of the world's oceans. It is the purpose.of this study to integrate all relevant biological and utilization factors into one complete model of the world demand and supply for seafood products. Forecasts of anticipated consumption and expected price over the ,next 30 years are derived within the framework of the model. The species which are studied include : (1) Tuna (?) Salmon„.(3) Groundfish ..(4) Halibut, (5) Sardines (6) Shrimp (7) Crabs,, (8) Lobsters, (9) Oysters, (10) Clams, '(a) Scallops, and (12) other food With the exception of sardines, oysters, clams, and scallops it is estimated that all of the species will reach the point of maximum sustainable supply in the l985.-2000 period. Policy implications are discussed and possible program areas are outlined.

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