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Abstract
This paper proposes a model of smuggling consistent with the
coexistence of firms involved in strictly legal trade with firms
involved in smuggling. A framework is presented in which a
firm's degree of risk aversion and the level of government
enforcement are the determining factors in the decision of the
firm to smuggle or not to smuggle. The model demonstrates that
smuggling must be welfare enhancing or all smuggling activity
will end.
This paper also provides a theoretical analysis of the
effect enforcement has on smuggling and welfare. Increased
enforcement is shown to have a negative effect on welfare.
Government enforcement is assumed to have two policy instruments
it can use to combat smuggling: l} the probability of detection;
2} the monetary penalty. The relative effectiveness of
government enforcement instruments in deterring smuggling is
shown to be dependent on the degree of firm risk aversion.