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Abstract

We investigate geospatial and socio-demographic attributes that explain differences in community-level policies affecting unconventional gas development (UGD) in New York. We examine local policy decisions (i.e., municipal bans, moratoria, and pre-emptive resolutions supporting development) through ordered probit models and middle-inflated and zero-inflated ordered probits to account for communities without UGD policies and estimate a spatial ordered probit to address spatial correlations between communities’ decisions. Our findings suggest that New York communities near Pennsylvania UGD are more likely to sup-port UGD. Communities that are predominantly Democrat or have more citizens who have bachelor’s de-grees are more likely to adopt policies opposing UGD.

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