@article{Sabur:202861,
      recid = {202861},
      author = {Sabur, S. Abdus and Haque, Md. Ershadul},
      title = {AN ANALYSIS OF RICE PRICE IN MYMENSING TOWN MARKET:  PATTERN AND FORECASTING},
      journal = {Bangladesh Journal of Agricultural Economics},
      address = {1993-12-31},
      number = {454-2016-36484},
      series = {XVI},
      pages = {15},
      month = {Dec},
      year = {1993},
      abstract = {The paper investigates the trend, seasonal and cyclic al  variations of retail and wholesale prices of price in  Mymensingh town market and forecasts the future prices  based on ARIMA model. Compound growth rates of real prices  indicate that consumers seem to he better off with respect  to rice price since independence, particularly during 80's.  Seasonal price variation of fine rice is found to be higher  compared with coarse rice because of continuous flow of  coarse rice in the market. Peak price month has changed to  April from September and seasonal price variation has  reduced markedly due to higher production of Boro paddy.  Apart from seasonal cycles, there exist a five year cycle  in rice price as revealed by the harmonic analysis. As the  structure of rice price has changed since independence, the  forecasting of prices based on ARIMA model for the whole  period provides poor performance. However, the forecasting  of prices improves considerably when the study period is  reduced. Thus, it may be concluded that ARIMA model can be  used to forecast short term rice price in Bangladesh.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/202861},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.202861},
}