The main purpose of the article is to evaluation of the business outlook in agriculture in Poland in the light of the selected methods. One has used three existing methods used by: the IERiGŻ (synthetic indicator of the business outlook in agriculture SWKR), Institute of Regional Development Economics SGH (indicator of the business outlook in agriculture) in the article. The study shows that the indicators SGH and SWKR are complementary to each other, which is due to their different structures and their character. The second one could be a barometer (reference ratio) in relation to the first. The extracted business cycles in agriculture were asymmetrical. Phase of growth was more gentle and long, in turn downward: violent and shorter.