@article{Herslund:199446,
      recid = {199446},
      author = {Herslund, L. and Byg, A. and Overgaard Larsen, H. and  Meilby, Henrik and Nielsen, O.J. and Rayamajhi, S. and  Smith-Hall, C.},
      title = {Revisiting an empirically based analysis of  household-level adaptation in high altitude villages in  Nepal},
      journal = {Scandinavian Forest Economics: Proceedings of the Biennial  Meeting of the Scandinavian Society of Forest Economics},
      address = {2012},
      number = {1333-2016-103823},
      pages = {2},
      year = {2012},
      note = {Subject Title: Abstract},
      abstract = {Climate change may significantly impact the assets,  activities and income of rural households
throughout  developing countries. Estimating possible future  vulnerability is therefore essential
to climate change  impact assessments. This case study paper aims to assess  household-level
coping and adaptation possibilities in high  altitude villages in Lower Mustang, Nepal. These  are
generally characterised as having limited economic  resources, low levels of technology, low
skill levels, poor  infrastructure and weak institutions, and are thus likely  to have low coping and
adaptive capacity. Village-level  background information was collected using  qualitative
techniques. This was followed by a structured  household survey (2009), emphasizing household
assets and  income, and a separate survey focusing on households’  response to economic shocks.
Livelihood strategies were  identified using cluster analysis and adaptive responses to  shocks
(coping strategies) were modelled on the basis of  the survey data. Existing regional and
national-level  climate studies and local data on temperature and  precipitation were used to
prepare scenarios of present and  future agricultural harvest outcome distributions. A  householdlevel
simulation model was developed and the  development with regard to households’
incomes, assets and  allocation of time to various activities was simulated over  a period of 50
years using Monte-Carlo simulation. Two main  scenarios were examined and compared. Based
on the  simulations household-level coping capacities were  analysed, and conditions that
stimulate or constrain coping  were identified. Possibilities for increasing coping  capacity,
especially for poorer and more vulnerable  households pursuing livelihood strategies with  a
significant environmental resource use component, were  discussed.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/199446},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.199446},
}