Files
Abstract
This paper examines the effects of government interventions during 1965-91 on short-run
price stability and long-run price incentives, as well as the further repercussions on producer income and
welfare, for the main agricultural export crop (cotton) in Egypt. In contrast to most existing studies on
agricultural pricing policies in developing countries that focus on either price stability or producer
incentives as the central policy goal, the analysis considers the simultaneous effects of alternative policy
regimes on those two objectives. In fact, what matters to risk-averse producers is not price variability per
se but the variability of their income. The analysis finds that the pure stabilization benefit from
government interventions is heavily dominated by the transfer benefit so that producer welfare is
significantly improved in moving to either of the two counterfactual regimes of sectoral and economywide
free trade.