@article{Siddig:188123,
      recid = {188123},
      author = {Siddig, Khalid},
      title = {Modeling the Impact of Drought on Agriculture and Food  Security in Sudan},
      address = {2011},
      number = {1123-2016-91927},
      pages = {20},
      year = {2011},
      abstract = {Global climatic changes and water scarcity are attracting  major concerns in the recent literature. These issues are  particularly important in a country like Sudan, where  agriculture contributes over 31% to GDP and the bulk of  agricultural production depends on rainfall. Similar to  several countries in the Sahel belt of Africa, Sudan has  suffered a number of long and devastating droughts during  the last decades. The most severe drought occurred in 1984,  which was accompanied by widespread displacement and  famine, while localized and less severe droughts were also  recorded during the late sixties, late eighties and early  nineties (UNEP, 2007). This paper is an attempt to use the  history of drought in Sudan exemplified by the famous  droughts of 1984 and 1990 to estimate the economic effects  of future droughts on Sudan. The two drought periods are  simulated in a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE)  modeling framework that is defined and calibrated to  produce parameters necessary for the analysis. The model  uses the most recent Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) that  represents the Sudanese economy in 2004 as underlying  database. Results indicate and confirm the ability of the  model to determine the magnitude of the loss in the  domestic supply as well as the welfare and overall economic  implications of droughts. This provides insights for all  relevant institutions such as the Strategic Reserve  Corporation and the food aid agencies working in Sudan to  estimate the mitigation requirements for future drought  incidents in Sudan.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/188123},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.188123},
}