@article{Wittwer:171982,
      recid = {171982},
      author = {Wittwer, Glyn and Berger, Nicholas and Anderson, Kym},
      title = {Modelling the World Wine Market to 2005: Impacts of  Structural and Policy Changes},
      address = {2001-01},
      number = {412-2016-25784},
      pages = {41},
      year = {2001},
      abstract = {This paper addresses the question: What will the global  wine market look like by
2005, when premium wine from  Australian and other New World plantings will be ready  to
market? It does so using a newly developed World  Multisectoral Wine Model which
distinguishes premium from  non-premium grapes and wine. After describing the model,  we
present results of projecting it from 1999 to 2005 to  estimate the impact of known
winegrape plantings of the  late 1990s on producer and consumer prices in different  regions,
without and then with additional effective market  promotion by Australia. Using the latter
2005 scenario as  the base, we then examine in turn the effects on the global  market of a
strengthening of the US dollar, of a spread of  Pierce’s Disease in California, of a European
trade policy  response to the growth in premium wine exports from the New  World, and of a
reduction in wholesale and retail margins  on beverage wines (thanks to expanding
supermarket and  internet sales). Production, trade and welfare results are  provided for ten
regions spanning the world.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/171982},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.171982},
}