@article{Larson:148991,
      recid = {148991},
      author = {Larson, Don},
      title = {Summary Statistics and Forecasting Performance},
      journal = {Agricultural Economics Research},
      address = {1983-07},
      number = {1489-2016-125539},
      pages = {12},
      year = {1983},
      abstract = {The simultaneous equation econometric model has recently  come under increasing, attack as a policy analysis and  forecasting tool However, traditional methods of choosing  among competing models rely heavily on the use of summary  Statistics It IS shown, by example, that choosing a model  With relatively better summary statistics does not  guarantee getting the best unconditional out-of-sample  forecasts Other methods of forecasting time series that  allow relative evaluation of the out-of-sample forecasting  ability of econometric Simultaneous equation models are  also examined},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/148991},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.148991},
}