TY - CPAPER AB - This paper examines the effect of the future developments of Russian and Ukrainian agricultural sectors and their impact on the world market prices for arable crops. Employed in the study is AGMEMOD, a partial equilibrium economic model of EU agriculture at the Member State level that has been extended by Russia and Ukraine to gain quantitative insights. Vital for the project has also been the integration of an endogenous world market price module including a stylized Rest of the World (ROW) model. In Russia and Ukraine, there is a strong focus on plant production in general and on grain based animal production; Russia and Ukraine are mostly net-exports of those products. Under the baseline, in Russia prices for crops and oilseeds are below the world market price level. In general, the removals of the trade measures in Russia and Ukraine are projected to induce world market prices of cereals and oilseeds to decline. AU - Banse, Martin AU - Salamon, Petra AU - Ledebur, Oliver von AU - van Leeuwen, Myrna AU - Bouma, Foppe AU - Salputra, Guna AU - Fellmann, Thomas AU - Nekhay, Olexandr DA - 2012-02-23 DA - 2012-02-23 DO - 10.22004/ag.econ.122536 DO - doi ID - 122536 KW - Agricultural and Food Policy KW - Risk and Uncertainty KW - Partial equilibrium model KW - price formation KW - Russia KW - Ukraine L1 - https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122536/files/Banse.pdf L2 - https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122536/files/Banse.pdf L4 - https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122536/files/Banse.pdf LA - eng LA - English LK - https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122536/files/Banse.pdf N2 - This paper examines the effect of the future developments of Russian and Ukrainian agricultural sectors and their impact on the world market prices for arable crops. Employed in the study is AGMEMOD, a partial equilibrium economic model of EU agriculture at the Member State level that has been extended by Russia and Ukraine to gain quantitative insights. Vital for the project has also been the integration of an endogenous world market price module including a stylized Rest of the World (ROW) model. In Russia and Ukraine, there is a strong focus on plant production in general and on grain based animal production; Russia and Ukraine are mostly net-exports of those products. Under the baseline, in Russia prices for crops and oilseeds are below the world market price level. In general, the removals of the trade measures in Russia and Ukraine are projected to induce world market prices of cereals and oilseeds to decline. PY - 2012-02-23 PY - 2012-02-23 T1 - Impact of Russia and Ukraine on the international price formation and the EU markets - A Model based analysis TI - Impact of Russia and Ukraine on the international price formation and the EU markets - A Model based analysis UR - https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122536/files/Banse.pdf Y1 - 2012-02-23 ER -