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Abstract
Consuming locally produced foods offers many benefits to consumers, producers
and the environment. As a result, local food economies are gaining attention as a means
for boosting agriculture and food production in New York State. Concurrent with this interest
in local agriculture is a national concern over the health effects of American food
consumption patterns and the capacity of agriculture to support nutritious diets. This study
merges these areas of inquiry in the context of a nutritionally and economically important
agricultural sector, namely New York State fruit production.
Three questions are examined in this research. 1) How does New York State fruit
production compare with fruit consumption by New Yorkers? 2) How do production and
consumption of fruit compare with the recommendations of the U.S. Department of
Agriculture food guide pyramid? 3) What implications do these comparisons have for
New York State agriculture? These questions were addressed using existing national and
state data and valuable methods borrowed from recent USDA Economic Research Service
analyses.
Annual per capita consumption estimates for the Northeast suggest that New Yorkers
consume approximately 180 pounds of fruit per person per year. Based on population
estimates, this level of consumption indicates that New Yorkers ate 3.2 billion pounds of
fruit in calendar year 1999. In contrast, New York State agriculture harvested an average
of 1.5 billion pounds of fruit annually during 1994-1998. After adjusting for processing
conversions, post-harvest losses, and inedible portions, the consumable equivalent of this
production is 816 million pounds. Furthermore, a commodity-by-commodity comparison
indicates that New York produces three products (e.g. fresh apples, processed apples, and
processed cherries) in quantities that exceed the estimated in-state demand. As a result,
New York produces enough fruit to provide 18 percent of the total fruit consumption plus
256 million pounds of “surplus” of the aforementioned three commodities.
Comparisons with the Food Guide Pyramid demonstrate that though fruit consumption
in the Northeast is higher than the national average, intake is still well below the recommendations.
At 1.9 servings per person per day, fruit consumption would need to increase
by 63% to reach the average recommended per capita intake for New York State.
The disposition of current consumption is consistent with the Pyramid recommendation
that intake be split evenly between the Vitamin C-rich “citrus, melons and berries” and the
catch-all category “other fruit”. However, current dietary preferences may not satisfy the
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Pyramid suggestion that consumers choose whole fruits most often since juices comprise
more than a third of all fruit servings. New York growers harvest enough fruit to provide
20% of this recommended intake, but production is not evenly distributed between the two
subgroups. Almost all in-state production lies in the “other fruits” category (e.g. apples,
grapes, and pears) while the production of melons and berries is insignificant relative to the
recommended intake.
The results of this research suggest both opportunities and challenges for New
York State fruit growers and consumers. For most fruits, the in-state market is large relative
to current production. In addition, consumption of fruit needs to increase substantially
to meet national nutritional goals. Taken together, these findings suggest potential for
marketing more fruit, and more New York grown fruit, to New Yorkers. However, the
length of the growing season and the predominance of just two crops, apples and grapes,
bring into question the ability of New York’s fruit sector to provide the diversity needed to
supply a more significant share of the state’s consumption. Moreover, current food preferences
may limit sales of in-state produced fruit as over 60% of consumption comes from
crops that cannot be grown in New York’s temperate climate. Despite these conflicting
patterns, potential exists for growers to target local and regional markets, particularly if
they can entice the palates of nutritionally conscious consumers.