@article{Tol:12046,
      recid = {12046},
      author = {Tol, Richard S.J.},
      title = {Carbon Dioxide Emission Scenarios for the USA},
      address = {2006},
      number = {825-2016-55054},
      series = {CCMP Nota di Lavoro 117.2006},
      pages = {55},
      year = {2006},
      abstract = {A model of carbon dioxide emissions of the USA is  presented. The model consists of population, income per  capita, economic structure, final and primary energy  intensity per sector, primary fuel mix, and emission  coefficients. The model is simple enough to be calibrated  to observations since 1850. The model is used to project  emissions until 2100. Best guess carbon dioxide emissions  are in the middle of the IPCC SRES scenarios, but incomes  and energy intensities are on the high side, while carbon  intensities are on the low side. The confidence interval  suggests that the SRES scenarios do not span the range of  not-implausible futures. Although the model can be  calibrated to reflect structural changes in the economy, it  cannot anticipate such changes. The data poorly constrain  crucial scenario elements, particularly energy prices. This  suggests that the range of future emissions is wider  still.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/12046},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.12046},
}