Files
Abstract
The global wine market has witnessed major changes in recent years. Some of these
changes are structural in nature or trend-following, whereas others are cyclical.
Recently, new market entrants have increased their exports not only to traditional
European markets but to other importing regions as well, whereas Old World producers
have experienced declining market shares. However, the evidence examined here suggests
that market share data also contain strong cyclical components. Mixed results
also occur when the wine export data are disaggregated into products. This paper
employs econometric methods to analyse the recent major shifts in world wine market
shares and explains whether these are more of a secular trend-setting nature or of a
temporary cyclical nature.