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1.
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The problem of filtering and smoothing for a system described by approximately linear dynamic and measurement relations has been studied for many decades. Yet the potenti [...]
English |
1990-03 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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2.
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This paper uses a flexible least squares (FLS) time-varying linear regression technique to investigate coefficient stability for the Goldfeld U.S. money demand model over [...]
English |
1989-07 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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3.
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Methods for forecasting turning points and future values of economic time series are developed which take account of a forecaster's loss structure. For example, it is fou [...]
English |
1988-01 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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4.
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Bayesian methods for specification analysis or diagnostic checking of the simultaneous equation model are formulated and applied in analysis of two models. In this work, [...]
English |
1988-01 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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5.
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An information-processing representation of statistical inference is formulated and utilized to derive an optimal information-processing rule. When particular input and o [...]
English |
1988-01 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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6.
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Bayesian and other procedures are developed and applied to forecast annual output growth rates for eighteen countries year by year for the period 1974-84. This work exten [...]
English |
1988-01 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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7.
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After presenting and discussing H. Feigl's definition of causality and the general properties of causal laws in science, an explanation of why research in the area of "ca [...]
English |
1988-01 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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8.
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This paper explores the issue of debt forgiveness in the case of Mexico during the periods 1971-75 and 1983-86. An attempt is made to contrast the real costs of foreign b [...]
English |
1987-11 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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9.
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This paper examines the procurement problem of a buyer who wishes to procure an object from a given number of firms under conditions of asymmetric information about firms [...]
English |
1987-08 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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10.
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This study involves an empirical analysis of the effect of social security wealth on wealth accumulation. My analysis takes as its point of departure a study by Feldstein [...]
English |
1987-07 |
Working or Discussion Paper |
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