University of Southern California Archive

The problem of filtering and smoothing for a system described by approximately linear dynamic and measurement relations has been studied for many decades. Yet the potenti [...]

This paper uses a flexible least squares (FLS) time-varying linear regression technique to investigate coefficient stability for the Goldfeld U.S. money demand model over [...]

Methods for forecasting turning points and future values of economic time series are developed which take account of a forecaster's loss structure. For example, it is fou [...]

Bayesian methods for specification analysis or diagnostic checking of the simultaneous equation model are formulated and applied in analysis of two models. In this work, [...]

An information-processing representation of statistical inference is formulated and utilized to derive an optimal information-processing rule. When particular input and o [...]

Bayesian and other procedures are developed and applied to forecast annual output growth rates for eighteen countries year by year for the period 1974-84. This work exten [...]

After presenting and discussing H. Feigl's definition of causality and the general properties of causal laws in science, an explanation of why research in the area of "ca [...]

This paper explores the issue of debt forgiveness in the case of Mexico during the periods 1971-75 and 1983-86. An attempt is made to contrast the real costs of foreign b [...]

This paper examines the procurement problem of a buyer who wishes to procure an object from a given number of firms under conditions of asymmetric information about firms [...]

This study involves an empirical analysis of the effect of social security wealth on wealth accumulation. My analysis takes as its point of departure a study by Feldstein [...]