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Abstract
Ex ante evaluation of agricultural research for development projects has become
important in recent years for priority setting, ex post impact assessment and learning
about generalizability to other populations and contexts. We apply farm household and
random utility modeling to baseline survey data and evaluate the impact of a cassava
research for development project in Malawi prior to its implementation. The project is
being implemented to unlock the potential of cassava in response to the global food
crisis. We find that a high proportion of farm households are not self-sufficient in food
production and can be assisted by increasing the productivity of land and labor in
production, processing and marketing of cassava to reduce deficits and increase marketed
surplus. The research for development embeds research in an innovation systems
network and speeds up exposure, awareness, adoption and diffusion. This increases the
likelihood that incremental benefits will be generated and accrue earlier compared to the
counterfactual without the project.