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Abstract

This paper reviews current methods of estimating agricultural flood damage and proposes a model which is flexible for use in resource allocation problems and is amenable to computer application. The inherent variability of the damage process itself suggests the use of probability measures, and to demonstrate the use of the assessment model, range estimates sampled under rectangular probability assumptions are used to simulate variability. While the problem of unreliable basic data remains, it can be explicitly recognized by variance estimates.

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