000092218 001__ 92218
000092218 005__ 20180122213227.0
000092218 037__ $$a1800-2016-142338
000092218 041__ $$aen
000092218 245__ $$aAn Economic Framework for Forecasting Land-Use and Ecosystem Change
000092218 260__ $$c2009-03
000092218 269__ $$a2009-03
000092218 270__ $$mdjlewis@pugetsound.edu$$pLewis,   David J.
000092218 300__ $$a39
000092218 336__ $$aWorking or Discussion Paper
000092218 490__ $$aStaff Paper Series
000092218 490__ $$a532
000092218 520__ $$aThis paper develops a joint econometric-simulation framework to forecast detailed empirical distributions of the spatial pattern of land-use and ecosystem change. In-sample and out-of-sample forecasting tests are used to examine the performance of the parcel-scale econometric and simulation models, and the importance of multiple forecasting challenges is assessed. The econometric-simulation method is integrated with an ecological model to generate forecasts of the probability of localized extinctions of an amphibian species. The paper demonstrates the potential of integrating economic and ecological models to generate ecological forecasts in the presence of alternative market conditions and land-use policy constraints.
000092218 542__ $$fLicense granted by Linda Davis (lvdavis@wisc.edu) on 2010-07-21T17:02:14Z (GMT):

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000092218 650__ $$aEnvironmental Economics and Policy
000092218 650__ $$aResearch Methods/ Statistical Methods
000092218 700__ $$aLewis, David J.
000092218 8564_ $$s407531$$uhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/92218/files/stpap532.pdf
000092218 887__ $$ahttp://purl.umn.edu/92218
000092218 909CO $$ooai:ageconsearch.umn.edu:92218$$pGLOBAL_SET
000092218 912__ $$nSubmitted by Linda Davis (lvdavis@wisc.edu) on 2010-07-21T17:04:37Z
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  Previous issue date: 2009-03
000092218 982__ $$gUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison>Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics>Staff Papers
000092218 980__ $$a1800