Mudanças na pauta das exportações agrícolas brasileiras

This paper aims to contribute to the Brazilian deindustrialization debate, attributed to exchange appreciation that, for several authors, is the agricultural export increase effect. Constant market share method applied on FAO export data, for the 1991 to 2003 period, indicates that Brazilian agricultural export increased more than the potential rate, due to expressive competitiveness gains. After the exchange regime change, in 1999, the competitiveness increase was partly neutralized by growth share of products whose world demand was in decline. Exports value decomposition showed that the volume effect predominates, fact more evident after the flotation exchange adoption, when the price effect was negative. Even discounting the real exchange depreciation effect, the international prices change was unfavourable to the Brazilian agriculture. The flexibility effect negative sign during all the period indicates great participation of products in disagreement with the offer law, fact worsened recently, when most of the products whose exports increased in volume had falling prices in the international market. The manufactured export decline and the largest basic products trade growth indicated a tendency to agribusiness deindustrialization.


Variant title:
Changes in the agenda of Brazilian agricultural exports
Subject(s):
Issue Date:
Mar 30 2008
Publication Type:
Journal Article
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/61270
Published in:
Brazilian Journal of Rural Economy and Sociology (Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural-RESR), Volume 46, Number 1
Page range:
053-073
Total Pages:
21
JEL Codes:
F31
Series Statement:
Volume 46
Number 01




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-11-23

Fulltext:
Download fulltext
PDF

Rate this document:

Rate this document:
1
2
3
 
(Not yet reviewed)