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Abstract
Using a three-year panel of 4,058 Mozambican households surveyed in 2002 and 2005, we
measure how prime-age (PA) adult mortality due to illness affects rural household size and
number of adults, crop and non-farm income, total household income, and asset levels.
1) Effects of PA mortality vary considerably by the gender and household position of
the deceased individual as well as by region. Results show that when PA males die,
households are less able to bring in new adult members, are more likely to lose access
to livestock and landholdings, and to suffer income effects. Households in the
North/Center with a PA male head death average 25% loss in crop income; in the
South, PA male death is associated with an 88% reduction in non-farm income.
2) In spite of these income reductions, net income per adult equivalent (AE) among
households with a PA death is not significantly different from those households
without a death. Households with a death are also not any more likely than other
households to have net income in 2005 below the expenditure-based poverty line.
3) Nevertheless, asset losses, demographic and income shifts all point to vulnerability to
future income and asset shocks, especially households with a PA male death.