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000031341 041__ $$aen
000031341 245__ $$aModeling and Managing Urban Growth at the Rural-Urban Fringe: A Parcel-Level Model of Residential Land Use Change
000031341 260__ $$c2003-04
000031341 269__ $$a2003-04
000031341 300__ $$a20
000031341 336__ $$aJournal Article
000031341 446__ $$aEnglish
000031341 520__ $$aAs many local and state governments in the United States grapple with increasing growth pressures, the need to understand the economic and institutional factors underlying these pressures has taken on added urgency. From an economic perspective, individual land use decisions play a central role in the manifestation of growth pressures, as changes in land use pattern are the cumulative result of numerous individual decisions regarding the use of lands. In this study, the issue of growth management is addressed by developing a spatially disaggregated, microeconomic model of land conversion decisions suitable for describing residential land use change at the rural-urban fringe. The model employs parcel-level data on land use in Calvert County, Maryland, a rapidly growing rural-urban fringe county. A probabilistic model of residential land use change is estimated using a duration model, and the parameter estimates are employed to simulate possible future growth scenarios under alternative growth management scenarios. Results suggest that "smart growth" objectives are best met when policies aimed at concentrating growth in target areas are implemented in tandem with policies designed to preserve rural or open space lands.
000031341 650__ $$aLand Economics/Use
000031341 700__ $$aIrwin, Elena G.
000031341 700__ $$aBell, Kathleen P.
000031341 700__ $$aGeoghegan, Jacqueline
000031341 773__ $$dApril 2003$$jVolume 32$$kNumber 1$$o102$$q83$$tAgricultural and Resource Economics Review
000031341 8564_ $$s2239652$$uhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/31341/files/32010083.pdf
000031341 887__ $$ahttp://purl.umn.edu/31341
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  Previous issue date: 2003-04
000031341 982__ $$gAgricultural and Resource Economics Review>Volume 32, Number 1, April 2003
000031341 980__ $$a1203