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Abstract

We present a further developed CAPRI modelling approach for technological (i.e. technical and management-based) greenhouse gas emission mitigation options. The model is employed to assess the potential of mitigation technologies in EU agriculture by 2030, and how their application could impact agricultural market and emission developments. Scenario results show that without incentives the uptake of the considered technologies is very limited. Setting a 15% emission reduction obligation for EU agriculture is an incentive that triggers technology adoption. Once technology uptake is subsidised, their share in mitigation increases substantially, which considerably decreases any adverse effects on EU production and emission leakage. The results underline the importance of activating and supporting the uptake of mitigation technologies in order to effectively increase agriculture's contribution to emission mitigation in the EU

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