THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED

Empirical research is scarce concerning the dynamics of farmland markets which inspire the decision to sell farmlands. This paper explores the real option to postpone the sale of land in farmland valuation. In this article, a real options approach is used to analyze farmland prices behavior using historical cash flow and land price information for Illinois. In general, rising farmland values are primarily dependent on agricultural commodity prices and interest rates. Results suggest that uncertainty about future growth and capital gains is a significant component of farmland market value. Furthermore, this research examines several shift factors of the option value of the state’s farmland by taking into account of uncertainty to improve the analysis of farmland market values.


Issue Date:
2016-04
Publication Type:
Journal Article
DOI and Other Identifiers:
ISSN 2147-8988 (Other)
E-ISSN: 2149-3766 (Other)
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/234907
Published in:
International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics, Volume 04, Number 2
Page range:
11-24
Total Pages:
14
Series Statement:
Vol 4
No 2




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-29

Fulltext:
Download fulltext
PDF

Rate this document:

Rate this document:
1
2
3
 
(Not yet reviewed)