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Abstract
This paper presents an empirical analysis of speculative attacks on pegged exchange rates in
22 counties between 1967 and 1992. We define speculative attacks or crises as large
movements in exchange rates, interest rates, and international reserves. We develop stylized
facts concerning the univariate behavior of a variety of macroeconomic variables, comparing
crises with periods of tranquility. For ERM observations we cannot reject the null hypothesis
that there are few significant differences in the behavior of key macroeconomic variables
between crises and non-crisis periods. This null can be decisively rejected for non-ERM
observations, however. Precisely the opposite pattern is evident in the behavior of actual
realignments and changes in exchange rate regimes. We attempt to tie these findings to the
theoretical literature on balance of payments crises.