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Abstract
Many studies have analysed agricultural market instability under different
perspectives, but little attention has been given to the effect of climate oscillations on
agricultural price volatility. Climate variability, and in particular the extreme events,
can alter agricultural yields and stocks, causing relevant effects on prices. In this
paper we used a Volatility Impulse Response Function (VIRF) from a multivariate
GARCH model (Hafner and Herwartz, 2006) to investigate the effects of climate
shocks variability (El Niño/Southern Oscillation - ENSO) on corn and soybeans
prices volatility from 1960 to 2014. Results highlighted how extreme ENSO events
influence price volatility with different dynamic between corn and soybeans.