000211377 001__ 211377
000211377 005__ 20170828185340.0
000211377 037__ $$a1008-2016-79939
000211377 041__ $$aen_US
000211377 084__ $$aQ02
000211377 084__ $$aQ11
000211377 084__ $$aQ54
000211377 245__ $$aA model-based economic assessment of future climate variability impacts on global agricultural markets
000211377 260__ $$c2015
000211377 269__ $$a2015
000211377 300__ $$a32
000211377 336__ $$aConference Paper/ Presentation
000211377 520__ $$aClimate change not only entails gradual changes, but also climate variability is predicted to increase.
Extreme weather events are expected to affect food security, among other things because yield losses lead
to rising food price volatility. We project the potential effect of heat-stress induced yield losses on food
price volatility and global economic welfare. For this purpose we use a non-linear partial equilibrium
trade model with which we assess global maize, rice, soy and wheat markets. Maize and rice are affected
the most, with partially dramatic price volatility increases. In the case of soy, the increase is lower, but
still considerable. For wheat, results are mixed. Depending on the scenario, price volatility slightly
decreases or significantly increases. Consequences for global economic welfare also strongly depend on
the scenario. Losses either increase moderately or they about double.
000211377 542__ $$fLicense granted by Allison Hasslen (hassl020@umn.edu) on 2015-10-28T16:42:21Z (GMT):

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000211377 650__ $$aAgribusiness
000211377 650__ $$aInternational Relations/Trade
000211377 650__ $$aMarketing
000211377 700__ $$aBuschmann, Christoph
000211377 700__ $$aLotze-Campen, Hermann
000211377 700__ $$aRolinski, Susanne
000211377 700__ $$aBiewald, Anne
000211377 773__ $$d2015
000211377 8564_ $$s839903$$uhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/211377/files/Buschmann-A%20model-based%20economic%20assessment%20of%20future%20climate%20variability%20impacts-902.pdf
000211377 887__ $$ahttp://purl.umn.edu/211377
000211377 909CO $$ooai:ageconsearch.umn.edu:211377$$qGLOBAL_SET
000211377 912__ $$nSubmitted by Allison Hasslen (hassl020@umn.edu) on 2015-10-28T16:44:48Z
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  Previous issue date: 2015
000211377 982__ $$gInternational Association of Agricultural Economists>2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy
000211377 980__ $$a1008