Multi-Measure Quality Analysis of Weather Forecasts Used for Winter Highway Maintenance

State Departments of Transportation spend a considerable portion of their winter maintenance budgets getting accurate weather forecasts that are essential for proactive operations and are interested in getting the best value for their money. With that intention, the Kansas Department of Transportation obtained weather forecasts from three commercial weather data providers for four selected locations within the state of Kansas. This paper presents a quality analysis of those forecasts to identify the most accurate and reliable provider. In doing so, researchers used the prediction of frost events as the performance measure. Several different measures that were capable of quantifying the selected attributes (reliability, accuracy, and skill) were used to evaluate different forecasts for each location and for combined data.


Issue Date:
2005
Publication Type:
Journal Article
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/206768
Published in:
Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, Volume 44, Number 3
Page range:
33-43
Total Pages:
12




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2018-01-01

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