ENSO Forecast Value, Variable Climate and Stochastic Prices

We evaluate ENSO forecasts when prices are variable and ENSO is a portion of overall climatic variability. Forecast responses include crop mix, cultivar,fertilization, and planting date. Price changes reduce forecast value by excluding responses. Predictable income variability (ENSO-related), as a share of the total, evaluates forecast skill.


Issue Date:
2001
Publication Type:
Conference Paper/ Presentation
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/20562
Total Pages:
15
Series Statement:
Selected Paper




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-24

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