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Abstract
The global financial crisis, Russia’s taxation policy for exported wood and EU’s targets for the
use of renewable energy have had a significant effect on the forest sector in Finland in recent
years. The significance of foresight work has increased, as the operational environment of the
forest sector is complex and constantly changing.
Yet, there is a long tradition of forest-related foresight studies: For instance, UNECE Timber
Committee, FAO Forestry Commission, IIASA Forestry Programme and ITTO in cooperation
with many national and international organizations have produced information on trends and
made policy analyses. At a national level, forest-related foresight work has been carried out in
Sweden, France, Germany and United States among others. Additionally, numerous industryspecific
international organizations have implemented foresight processes.
In Finland, forest-related foresight studies have recently been carried out by the University of
Eastern Finland, the Finnish Forest Research Institute and the Ministry of Agriculture and
Forestry as a part of the National Forest Programme. In addition, other instances such as
consulting companies, forest industry as well as other research institutes have published
foresight reports. Interest and resources for foresight exercises have increased in the society in
general. Also, methodology has benefitted from recent advances.
The aim of our study was to compile the current information, in a condensed form, on the recent
foresight work carried out in the Finnish forest sector and in other relevant sectors and to
identify strenghts and possible gaps in the acquired foresight information. Our focus was on the
foresight work published or carried out in 2008 or later in Finland, with additional information
from relevant sources abroad. Results of this study will be presented. The review will serve the
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry in forest policy processes as well as point out possible new
directions for future forest-related foresight studies.