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Abstract
Forest owners' optimal harvesting and investment strategies are studied at the forest holding
level by including individual forest stands in an asset class portfolio. The forest owner has an
option either to clearcut the mature stands and to invest the capital in financial or real asset
classes (bank deposits, government bonds, stocks, apartments) or to postpone clearcutting and
retain capital in standing trees. Forest inventory data, simulation-optimisation programme
Mela and statistics of timber prices are utilised to compute the return series for forest stands.
Numerical results show that the optimum level of clearcutting decreases markedly with initial
non-forest wealth, particular at low risk-free rates of interest. This suggests that it is rational
for non-industrial private forest owners to employ shorter rotations than institutional
investors that possess diversified portfolios. Increasing the variety of stand structures by
planting different species is not likely to bring substantial benefits due to the correlation
between returns from forest stands. The value growth of forest stands can be used to estimate
annual returns only for those stands that are soon to be mature. An alternative method for
computing the returns for stands at any development phase is proposed based on the net
present value of the stand adjusted with fluctuations in forest land prices. This method applies
to cases where selling forest stands in the forest land market is considered as an option. Even
if selling is not an option, the ratio of maximised net present value to value at immediate
harvest can be used as a 'maturity index' for ranking the stands for portfolio optimisation.