Speculation in the agricultural commodity market

This paper studies the role of speculators in explaining agricultural commodity price movements. The spikes in global agricultural commodity prices in 2007-2008 and 2010 2011 have opened a debate on the contribution of speculation to recent food price volatility. Most academic literature does not support the idea that speculators drive commodity prices beyond fundamental levels. There are, however, some researchers who do find empirical evidence supporting the idea that the activity of speculators affects commodity prices. This paper concludes that the activity of speculators may temporarily overprice or underprice commodity values. It is assumed, however, that both fundamental and financial factors influence commodity prices. Nevertheless, it is difficult to indicate the extent to which each factor separately affects prices.

Issue Date:
Publication Type:
Journal Article
DOI and Other Identifiers:
ISSN 2081-6960 (Other)
Record Identifier:
PURL Identifier:
Published in:
Problems of World Agriculture / Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, Volume 13, Number 28
Page range:
Total Pages:
Series Statement:
Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego / Scientific Journal Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW Problems of World Agriculture

 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2018-01-22

Download fulltext

Rate this document:

Rate this document:
(Not yet reviewed)