A Term Structure Model for Commodity Prices: Does Storability Matter?

Econometric models of commodity prices have been estimated for more than 80 years, but both structural and time series models require ad hoc assumptions to capture all the features of commodity price series. Commodities can be broadly divided into two categories: storable and non-storable. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of storability on commodity futures pricing, especially whether meats can be reasonably approximated by storable commodity term structure models. From the empirical analysis of seven commodity futures prices, the two-factor Schwartz model is found to perform well for less storable commodities.


Issue Date:
2006
Publication Type:
Conference Paper/ Presentation
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/18993
Total Pages:
15
Series Statement:
2006 NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-24

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