Farmers' Climate Change Risk Perceptions: An Application of the Exchangeability Method

Using the exchangeability method, we quantitatively elicit Italian farmers' short- and long-run risk perceptions concerning key crop loss hazards whose relevance depends upon climate developments: hail, powdery mildew for winegrowers and apple dieback for apple farmers. We show that long-run perceptions are significantly higher than short-run perceptions and identify climate change beliefs and experience with crop damages as critical factors in explaining this difference. From a policy prospective, our results suggest that an effective outreach service would benefit from offering farmers first-hand on-farm experience with crop risk and a “segmented” approach that takes into consideration farmers’ climate change beliefs.


Issue Date:
2014-08
Publication Type:
Conference Paper/ Presentation
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/183086
Total Pages:
13




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-27

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