FRACTIONAL CONINTEGRATION AND THE FALSE REJECTION OF THE LAW OF ONE PRICE IN INTERNATIONAL COMMODITY MARKETS

This study examines the Law of One Price (LOP) in international commodity markets using fractional cointegration analysis. For proper evaluation of the LOP, fractional cointegration analysis seems to be appropriate because of its flexibility in capturing a wider range of mean reversion behavior than standard cointegration analysis. Out of nine pairs of price series examined, fractional cointegration supports the existence of the LOP in eight cases, as compared to three cases using standard cointegration procedures. Overall, these results suggest that there is a long-run tendency for the LOP to hold for commodity prices.


Issue Date:
1998-12
Publication Type:
Journal Article
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/15554
Published in:
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Volume 30, Number 2
Page range:
267-276
Total Pages:
10




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-23

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