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000121275 037__ $$a1812-2016-143233
000121275 037__ $$a1812-2016-146443
000121275 041__ $$aen_US
000121275 245__ $$aApplication of GARCH Model in Research on Price of Agricultural Products
000121275 260__ $$c2011-08
000121275 269__ $$a2011-08
000121275 300__ $$a4
000121275 336__ $$aJournal Article
000121275 520__ $$aTaking the price of grain in Guizhou Province as an example, by establishing GARCH model, I calculate VAR of logarithm return of grain price index, in order to conduct research on the variation law of price of the agricultural products. The results show that VAR of grain in Guizhou has variation. After the year 2010, VAR value is gradually increasing, and the price variation risk of grain market tends to increase progressively. Based on the characteristics of grain price variation, a series of corresponding proposals are put forward to stabilize the grain price as follows: strengthen the agricultural infrastructure construction, and promote the agricultural overall production capacity; reinforce the market supervision on the circulation field of agricultural products, and maintain market order; improve regulation system of agricultural products, and stabilize the price of agricultural products; strengthen mobility regulation, and prevent a flood of speculative cash.
000121275 542__ $$fLicense granted by Sanxing He (hsxahnykx@163.com) on 2012-02-29 (GMT):

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000121275 650__ $$aAgribusiness
000121275 6531_ $$aPrice of agricultural products
000121275 6531_ $$aPrice fluctuation
000121275 6531_ $$aGARCH model
000121275 6531_ $$aVAR
000121275 6531_ $$aChina
000121275 700__ $$aHe, Hai
000121275 773__ $$d2011$$j 03$$k 08$$o22$$q15$$tAsian Agricultural Research
000121275 8564_ $$s290256$$uhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/121275/files/05.pdf
000121275 887__ $$ahttp://purl.umn.edu/121275
000121275 909CO $$ooai:ageconsearch.umn.edu:121275$$pGLOBAL_SET
000121275 912__ $$nSubmitted by Sanxing He (hsxahnykx@163.com) on 2012-02-29
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  Previous issue date: 2011-08
000121275 982__ $$gAsian Agricultural Research> Volume 03, Issue 08, August 2011
000121275 980__ $$a1812