000012046 001__ 12046
000012046 005__ 20170823182151.0
000012046 037__ $$a825-2016-55054
000012046 041__ $$aen
000012046 245__ $$aCarbon Dioxide Emission Scenarios for the USA
000012046 260__ $$c2006
000012046 269__ $$a2006
000012046 270__ $$mrichard.tol@zmaw.de$$pTol, Richard S.J.
000012046 300__ $$a55
000012046 336__ $$aWorking or Discussion Paper
000012046 446__ $$aEnglish
000012046 490__ $$aCCMP Nota di Lavoro 117.2006
000012046 520__ $$aA model of carbon dioxide emissions of the USA is presented. The model consists of population, income per capita, economic structure, final and primary energy intensity per sector, primary fuel mix, and emission coefficients. The model is simple enough to be calibrated to observations since 1850. The model is used to project emissions until 2100. Best guess carbon dioxide emissions are in the middle of the IPCC SRES scenarios, but incomes and energy intensities are on the high side, while carbon intensities are on the low side. The confidence interval suggests that the SRES scenarios do not span the range of not-implausible futures. Although the model can be calibrated to reflect structural changes in the economy, it cannot anticipate such changes. The data poorly constrain crucial scenario elements, particularly energy prices. This suggests that the range of future emissions is wider still.
000012046 650__ $$aEnvironmental Economics and Policy
000012046 700__ $$aTol, Richard S.J.
000012046 8564_ $$s2258492$$uhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/12046/files/wp060117.pdf
000012046 887__ $$ahttp://purl.umn.edu/12046
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  Previous issue date: 2006
000012046 982__ $$gFondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)>Climate Change Modelling and Policy Working Papers
000012046 980__ $$a825