Climate change and food security to 2030: a global economy-wide perspective

The effects of climate change on agriculture raise major food security concerns. We use a global economy-wide model to assess the effects on farm product prices of expected yield changes. Also modelled is an expected adverse effect of higher temperatures and humidity in the tropics on the productivity of unskilled workers in developing countries. Given the degrees of uncertainty about plausible effects of climate change, our modelling accounts for a range of yield productivity and labor shocks. The results entail consequences for international agricultural prices, national food consumption, self sufficiency, net farm income and economic welfare.


Issue Date:
Nov 01 2011
Publication Type:
Journal Article
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/117616
Published in:
Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Volume 11, Number 01
Page range:
29-58
Total Pages:
30
JEL Codes:
D58; F17; Q17; Q24; Q54




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-26

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